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McNeese at NW State: Over/Under Analysis

Monday Feb 16, 2026 7:30 pm - Natchitoches, LA
Odds: McNeese by 14.5, Total Points: 137.5

Matchup Menu: MCNS @ NWST

More Games From Feb 16, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 137.5	Official TR Pick	55% odds to go over
Over 137.5	Decision Tree	55% odds to go over
Under 137.5	Similar Games	56% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MCNS	NWST
Season	14-17-0	15-15-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	12-12-0	9-14-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 5
Last 5	2-3-0	0-5-0
Last 10	5-5-0	3-7-0
Home	7-6-0	4-8-0
Away	7-11-0	11-7-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

McNeese Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Champion Baptist	--	127-65	Under	--
11/07	Away	Santa Clara	152.0	67-79	Under	-6.0
11/10	Home	College of Biblical Studies	--	132-50	Under	--
11/14	Home	Louisiana	134.5	88-62	Over	+15.5
11/23	Neutral	G Washington	--	92-86	Under	--
11/24	Neutral	Murray St	158.5	73-60	Under	-25.5
11/25	Neutral	Middle Tenn	147.5	72-62	Under	-13.5
12/01	Away	Incarnate Word	145.5	67-71	Under	-7.5
12/05	Home	NW State	140.0	92-54	Over	+6.0
12/09	Away	Rhode Island	146.0	66-64	Under	-16.0
12/12	Home	E Texas A&M	143.0	102-66	Over	+25.0
12/15	Away	Hou Christian	137.5	78-68	Over	+8.5
12/29	Away	Michigan	162.0	71-112	Over	+21.0
01/02	Home	Lamar	145.5	82-70	Over	+6.5
01/05	Home	SF Austin	144.5	66-64	Under	-14.5
01/10	Home	SE Louisiana	138.5	73-61	Under	-4.5
01/12	Home	Nicholls	146.0	94-68	Over	+16.0
01/17	Away	UT Rio Grande	146.0	76-79	Over	+9.0
01/19	Away	Texas A&M-CC	140.5	69-53	Under	-18.5
01/24	Home	New Orleans	155.5	82-63	Under	-10.5
01/27	Away	SE Louisiana	139.5	76-66	Over	+2.5
01/31	Away	Lamar	143.5	64-63	Under	-16.5
02/02	Away	SF Austin	142.0	60-67	Under	-15.0
02/07	Home	Incarnate Word	146.0	81-64	Under	-1.0
02/09	Home	Hou Christian	137.0	73-69	Over	+5.0
02/14	Away	E Texas A&M	142.5	97-54	Over	+8.5
02/16	Away	NW State	137.5	75-64	Over	+1.5
02/21	Home	Texas A&M-CC	139.5	70-54	Under	-15.5
02/23	Home	UT Rio Grande	146.5	75-68	Under	-3.5
02/28	Away	New Orleans	150.5	66-63	Under	-21.5
03/02	Away	Nicholls	145.5	75-65	Under	-5.5
03/10	Home	UT Rio Grande	140.5	84-80	Over	+23.5
03/11	Away	SF Austin	134.5	76-59	Over	+0.5
03/19	Neutral	Vanderbilt	148.5	68-78	Under	-2.5

NW State Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Texas A&M	153.0	68-98	Over	+13.0
11/06	Away	N Texas	138.5	53-80	Under	-5.5
11/11	Away	N Alabama	142.5	83-87	Over	+27.5
11/14	Home	Ecclesia College	--	95-75	Under	--
11/18	Away	San Francisco	143.0	64-84	Over	+5.0
11/21	Away	Grand Canyon	147.5	72-85	Over	+9.5
11/29	Home	Southern	144.5	73-75	Over	+3.5
12/05	Away	McNeese	140.0	54-92	Over	+6.0
12/07	Away	SE Louisiana	133.5	76-68	Over	+10.5
12/13	Away	California	145.0	70-79	Over	+4.0
12/20	Home	Southern-New Orleans	--	108-55	Under	--
12/29	Home	Lamar	139.0	61-76	Under	-2.0
12/31	Home	SF Austin	138.5	64-74	Under	-0.5
01/03	Home	New Orleans	149.5	74-68	Under	-7.5
01/05	Away	Nicholls	144.5	72-74	Over	+1.5
01/10	Home	Texas A&M-CC	136.5	79-78	Over	+20.5
01/12	Home	UT Rio Grande	143.5	64-63	Under	-16.5
01/17	Away	Incarnate Word	142.0	74-76	Over	+8.0
01/19	Away	Hou Christian	140.5	80-82	Over	+21.5
01/27	Away	SF Austin	141.5	67-69	Under	-5.5
01/31	Away	New Orleans	153.5	64-75	Under	-14.5
02/02	Home	Nicholls	147.5	58-61	Under	-28.5
02/04	Home	E Texas A&M	142.5	68-74	Under	-0.5
02/07	Away	E Texas A&M	140.5	48-52	Under	-40.5
02/09	Away	Lamar	135.5	70-68	Over	+2.5
02/14	Home	SE Louisiana	132.0	69-66	Over	+3.0
02/16	Home	McNeese	137.5	64-75	Over	+1.5
02/21	Home	Hou Christian	134.5	71-53	Under	-10.5
02/23	Home	Incarnate Word	138.5	54-49	Under	-35.5
02/28	Away	Texas A&M-CC	134.5	59-71	Under	-4.5
03/02	Away	UT Rio Grande	139.5	62-74	Under	-3.5
03/08	Neutral	Nicholls	137.5	47-61	Under	-29.5