This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2023-24 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2024-25 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

McNeese St at NW State: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 15, 2020 4:00 pm - Natchitoches, LA
Odds: McNeese St. by 2, Total Points: 150

Matchup Menu: MCNS @ NWST

More Games From Feb 15, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MCNS NWST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MCNS NWST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 52.6
Field Goal % 49.9% 39.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 29.4
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 30.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 29.7 20.2
Free Throw % 69.1% 64.9%
Ball Control MCNS NWST
Rebounds 37.6 31.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 20.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 10.3
Turnovers 9.2 15.0
Blocked Shots 4.6 2.5
Steals 8.8 4.3
Fouls 16.6 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MCNS NWST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MCNS NWST
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 35.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.6% 28.2%
Player Fouled 25.8% 23.6%
Turnover 13.2% 21.4%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 12.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MCNS NWST
Shot Blocked 4.9% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 37.1% 28.8%