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Oklahoma St at Houston: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Dec 15, 2019 3:00 pm - Houston, TX
Odds: Houston by 7, Total Points: 140.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKST HOU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting OKST HOU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 47.9 62.8
Field Goal % 35.9% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 25.2 42.6
2 Point Shooting % 41.9% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 29.3% 35.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 16.4
Free Throw % 71.2% 71.1%
Ball Control OKST HOU
Rebounds 31.5 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 13.0
Turnovers 15.2 7.0
Blocked Shots 1.8 5.4
Steals 3.9 10.6
Fouls 13.3 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKST HOU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with OKST HOU
2 Point Attempt 32.4% 52.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 24.9%
Player Fouled 23.3% 19.7%
Turnover 22.6% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 15.8% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKST HOU
Shot Blocked 8.7% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 36.0%