Wyoming at San Diego St: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Jan 21, 2020 11:00 pm - San Diego, CA
Odds: San Diego St. by 23, Total Points: 122.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WYO SDSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting WYO SDSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 49.6 53.1
Field Goal % 35.9% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 25.2 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 42.2% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 36.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.3 19.0
Free Throw % 74.3% 79.0%
Ball Control WYO SDSU
Rebounds 27.0 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 4.1 8.1
Turnovers 13.4 10.4
Blocked Shots 1.3 2.3
Steals 4.7 6.3
Fouls 17.4 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WYO SDSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with WYO SDSU
2 Point Attempt 34.8% 39.2%
3 Point Attempt 33.6% 30.6%
Player Fouled 23.8% 25.7%
Turnover 19.9% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken WYO SDSU
Shot Blocked 4.3% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 12.3% 26.1%