BYU vs. Nevada: Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 25, 2011 6:00 pm - Chicago, IL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Brigham Young by 6.5, Total Points: 141.5

More Games From Nov 25, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring BYU NEV
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting BYU NEV
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 52.2
Field Goal % 42.5% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 28.7 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 31.7 17.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 35.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 25.3
Free Throw % 71.8% 72.3%
Ball Control BYU NEV
Rebounds 38.1 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 6.5
Turnovers 9.1 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.1
Steals 4.2 5.0
Fouls 20.4 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BYU NEV
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with BYU NEV
2 Point Attempt 35.0% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 38.5% 22.2%
Player Fouled 21.2% 29.2%
Turnover 13.0% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BYU NEV
Shot Blocked 4.0% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 30.4% 19.7%