Chicago St at Northwestern: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 5, 2020 5:00 pm - Evanston, IL
Odds: Northwestern by 31.5, Total Points: 136

More Games From Dec 5, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHS NW
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CHS NW
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 49.5 54.3
Field Goal % 40.5% 52.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.9% 41.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 19.9
Free Throw % 70.5% 75.6%
Ball Control CHS NW
Rebounds 28.0 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 19.5 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 9.2
Turnovers 12.6 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.5
Steals 5.8 6.6
Fouls 17.0 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHS NW
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CHS NW
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 25.1%
Player Fouled 21.3% 25.5%
Turnover 19.0% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHS NW
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 31.9%