BYU vs. UNLV: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 7, 2019 3:00 pm - Salt Lake City, UT (Neutral Site)
Odds: Brigham Young by 10, Total Points: 137.5

More Games From Dec 7, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring BYU UNLV
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting BYU UNLV
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 62.6 55.4
Field Goal % 43.9% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.2 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 32.4 17.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 33.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 20.2
Free Throw % 72.5% 73.0%
Ball Control BYU UNLV
Rebounds 39.1 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 7.2
Turnovers 9.1 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.8
Steals 5.0 4.5
Fouls 16.0 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BYU UNLV
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with BYU UNLV
2 Point Attempt 36.3% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 39.0% 22.0%
Player Fouled 18.1% 23.0%
Turnover 13.1% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BYU UNLV
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 33.6% 21.4%