Houston at Tulane: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jan 17, 2018 8:00 pm - New Orleans, LA
Odds: Houston by 7, Total Points: 150

More Games From Jan 17, 2018

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU TULN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting HOU TULN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 67.3 48.3
Field Goal % 45.5% 37.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 29.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 41.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 27.5 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 31.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 27.5
Free Throw % 71.9% 71.6%
Ball Control HOU TULN
Rebounds 44.9 29.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 16.3 5.5
Turnovers 7.0 13.8
Blocked Shots 6.9 2.4
Steals 8.9 4.4
Fouls 18.6 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU TULN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with HOU TULN
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 36.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 23.4%
Player Fouled 20.0% 25.9%
Turnover 9.8% 19.2%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 12.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU TULN
Shot Blocked 5.1% 10.4%
Offensive Rebound 40.6% 16.2%