SIU Edward at Belmont: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jan 2, 2020 8:00 pm - Nashville, TN
Odds: Belmont by 23, Total Points: 145.5

More Games From Jan 2, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE BEL
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SIUE BEL
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 57.5
Field Goal % 45.8% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 31.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 33.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 12.0 19.5
Free Throw % 63.1% 75.7%
Ball Control SIUE BEL
Rebounds 34.3 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 9.5
Turnovers 15.5 14.3
Blocked Shots 5.5 1.9
Steals 6.8 8.2
Fouls 17.3 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE BEL
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SIUE BEL
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 36.4%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 30.7%
Player Fouled 16.7% 23.4%
Turnover 20.9% 19.3%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE BEL
Shot Blocked 3.4% 9.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 28.0%