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BYU at Utah St: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 5, 2020 9:00 pm - Logan, UT
Odds: Utah St. by 1, Total Points: 141

Matchup Menu: BYU @ USU

More Games From Dec 5, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring BYU USU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting BYU USU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 63.9 56.2
Field Goal % 44.4% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 56.0% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 30.5 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 32.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 22.7
Free Throw % 72.5% 72.5%
Ball Control BYU USU
Rebounds 37.5 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 6.6
Turnovers 8.6 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.6
Steals 5.0 5.0
Fouls 17.6 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BYU USU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with BYU USU
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 36.4% 22.3%
Player Fouled 18.8% 24.4%
Turnover 11.9% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BYU USU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 19.5%