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Nebraska at Northwestern: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Mar 7, 2021 1:30 pm - Evanston, IL
Odds: Northwestern by 7, Total Points: 140

Matchup Menu: NEB @ NW

More Games From Mar 7, 2021

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEB NW
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NEB NW
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.2 60.8
Field Goal % 47.7% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 28.9 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 46.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 26.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 38.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 16.1
Free Throw % 76.0% 75.6%
Ball Control NEB NW
Rebounds 34.1 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 9.2
Turnovers 10.8 7.9
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.7
Steals 4.5 6.4
Fouls 13.8 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEB NW
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NEB NW
2 Point Attempt 37.4% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 33.0%
Player Fouled 21.3% 19.9%
Turnover 15.6% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEB NW
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 25.0%