coin-dollar notification2 facebook2 twitter2 football
Football premium packages for 2015-16 are now on sale: View Packages

Nebraska at USC

  Monday Nov 14, 2011 - 10:30 pm - Los Angeles, CA | Odds: Southern California by 2, Total Points: 120 | Team Pages: NEB | USC

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEB USC
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting NEB USC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 52.5
Field Goal % 39.2% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 45.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 16.2
3 Point Shooting % 27.5% 32.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 20.2
Free Throw % 69.8% 61.9%

Ball Control NEB USC
Rebounds 36.0 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 10.4
Turnovers 11.5 14.3
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.4
Steals 6.8 5.2
Fouls 16.1 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEB USC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with NEB USC
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 20.0%
Player Fouled 21.9% 23.0%
Turnover 16.4% 20.5%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 9.7%

Odds Per Shot Taken NEB USC
Shot Blocked 6.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 29.4%