Nebraska at USC : Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 14, 2011 10:30 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Southern California by 2, Total Points: 120

More Games From Nov 14, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEB USC
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NEB USC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 63.6
Field Goal % 41.1% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 44.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 33.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 15.1
Free Throw % 71.5% 71.7%
Ball Control NEB USC
Rebounds 35.5 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 13.1
Turnovers 9.7 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.8
Steals 4.4 4.6
Fouls 14.0 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEB USC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NEB USC
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 53.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 22.3%
Player Fouled 21.8% 20.2%
Turnover 14.0% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEB USC
Shot Blocked 6.1% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 34.5%