Nebraska at Michigan St : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 25, 2012 8:00 pm - East Lansing, MI
Odds: Michigan St by 17.5, Total Points: 127.5

More Games From Feb 25, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEB MIST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NEB MIST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 54.6
Field Goal % 37.1% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 41.2 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 39.5% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 44.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 21.8
Free Throw % 72.2% 73.9%
Ball Control NEB MIST
Rebounds 28.9 40.8
Rebounds - Defensive 20.5 30.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 10.3
Turnovers 7.7 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.4 5.3
Steals 5.7 3.3
Fouls 17.1 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEB MIST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NEB MIST
2 Point Attempt 52.3% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 20.9% 22.4%
Player Fouled 24.9% 25.0%
Turnover 11.3% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 4.8% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEB MIST
Shot Blocked 9.8% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 33.4%