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Geo Wshgtn vs. Austin Peay

  Tuesday Nov 22, 2011 - 5:00 pm - Bowling Green, OH (Neutral Site) | Odds: George Washington by 3, Total Points: 138 | Team Pages: GWSH | ASPY

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GWSH ASPY
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting GWSH ASPY
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.0 55.4
Field Goal % 47.9% 35.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.1 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 38.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.9 16.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 26.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 18.4
Free Throw % 66.3% 66.9%

Ball Control GWSH ASPY
Rebounds 38.3 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 20.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 11.9
Turnovers 11.2 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.4
Steals 6.5 5.7
Fouls 14.7 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GWSH ASPY
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with GWSH ASPY
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 19.9% 21.0%
Player Fouled 24.5% 22.0%
Turnover 16.7% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 9.7%

Odds Per Shot Taken GWSH ASPY
Shot Blocked 8.1% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 35.1% 30.4%