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Nicholls St at Auburn : Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 25, 2011 8:00 pm - Auburn, AL
Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A

More Games From Nov 25, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIST AUB
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NIST AUB
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 55.2
Field Goal % 37.8% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 32.5
2 Point Shooting % 40.7% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 36.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 34.5
Free Throw % 72.2% 76.8%
Ball Control NIST AUB
Rebounds 31.8 40.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 29.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 11.1
Turnovers 16.1 12.3
Blocked Shots 2.1 6.4
Steals 7.4 7.7
Fouls 22.4 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIST AUB
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NIST AUB
2 Point Attempt 40.9% 36.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 25.3%
Player Fouled 21.5% 28.7%
Turnover 20.7% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NIST AUB
Shot Blocked 11.8% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 33.2%