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Nicholls St at TX-San Ant

  Wednesday Jan 4, 2012 - 8:00 pm - San Antonio, TX | Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A | Team Pages: NIST | UTSA

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIST UTSA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting NIST UTSA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.6 52.4
Field Goal % 45.6% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 46.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 32.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 33.5
Free Throw % 64.4% 68.9%

Ball Control NIST UTSA
Rebounds 33.0 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 12.9
Turnovers 15.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 5.7 2.4
Steals 5.9 8.0
Fouls 21.9 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIST UTSA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with NIST UTSA
2 Point Attempt 38.1% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 19.3%
Player Fouled 22.8% 30.9%
Turnover 21.9% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 11.3% 8.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken NIST UTSA
Shot Blocked 4.8% 11.0%
Offensive Rebound 30.4% 35.9%