E Kentucky at Morehead St: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Feb 13, 2020 7:00 pm - Morehead, KY
Odds: Morehead St. by 3.5, Total Points: 152.5

More Games From Feb 13, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring EKY MORE
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting EKY MORE
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 65.2 51.3
Field Goal % 37.4% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 32.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.0% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 30.3 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 28.7% 26.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 21.7
Free Throw % 68.3% 63.5%
Ball Control EKY MORE
Rebounds 33.6 42.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 32.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 9.9
Turnovers 11.5 20.1
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.5
Steals 11.1 3.9
Fouls 17.8 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EKY MORE
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with EKY MORE
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 37.7%
3 Point Attempt 34.5% 21.0%
Player Fouled 19.0% 23.5%
Turnover 15.1% 26.5%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 14.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken EKY MORE
Shot Blocked 7.0% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 30.1%