Central Mich vs. CS Bakersfld: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 25, 2017 11:59 pm - Seattle, WA (Neutral Site)
Odds: CSU Bakersfield by 6, Total Points: 138

More Games From Nov 25, 2017

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CMU CSB
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CMU CSB
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.6 60.9
Field Goal % 40.0% 39.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 43.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 43.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 28.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 19.0
Free Throw % 67.1% 73.0%
Ball Control CMU CSB
Rebounds 34.1 41.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 14.9
Turnovers 11.1 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.2
Steals 4.9 5.6
Fouls 13.9 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CMU CSB
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CMU CSB
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 52.0%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 20.1%
Player Fouled 25.2% 20.4%
Turnover 16.4% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CMU CSB
Shot Blocked 7.1% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 37.8%