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Central Mich at Miami (OH) : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 11, 2012 3:30 pm - Miami, OH
Odds: Miami (OH) by 6.5, Total Points: 121.5

More Games From Feb 11, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CMCH MIOH
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CMCH MIOH
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 54.3
Field Goal % 43.8% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 26.2 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 29.0 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 29.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 20.0
Free Throw % 73.3% 73.5%
Ball Control CMCH MIOH
Rebounds 33.6 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 10.1
Turnovers 9.0 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.0
Steals 3.7 4.3
Fouls 16.6 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CMCH MIOH
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CMCH MIOH
2 Point Attempt 34.3% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 38.0% 22.5%
Player Fouled 24.7% 25.1%
Turnover 13.6% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CMCH MIOH
Shot Blocked 3.8% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 29.3%