Coastal Car at GA Southern: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Feb 13, 2020 7:00 pm - Statesboro, GA
Odds: Georgia Southern by 6, Total Points: 158

More Games From Feb 13, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CCAR GASO
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CCAR GASO
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 61.8 54.8
Field Goal % 43.3% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 29.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 33.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 29.1
Free Throw % 71.3% 67.1%
Ball Control CCAR GASO
Rebounds 41.1 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 9.0
Turnovers 15.5 12.4
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.0
Steals 6.3 7.2
Fouls 20.9 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CCAR GASO
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CCAR GASO
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 34.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 29.2%
Player Fouled 19.2% 27.4%
Turnover 20.3% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CCAR GASO
Shot Blocked 5.6% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 35.0% 24.5%