This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2015-2016 NCAA BB season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2016-2017 NCAA BB section, register for a free account.

Virginia at Clemson : Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Feb 14, 2012 7:00 pm - Clemson, SC
Odds: Clemson by 2, Total Points: 116

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVA CLEM
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UVA CLEM
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.1 49.7
Field Goal % 46.4% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 29.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 44.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.1 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 40.7% 35.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.9 15.1
Free Throw % 76.1% 72.7%
Ball Control UVA CLEM
Rebounds 33.2 28.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 21.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 6.8
Turnovers 8.1 9.0
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.4
Steals 4.5 5.1
Fouls 13.9 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVA CLEM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UVA CLEM
2 Point Attempt 52.7% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 21.5% 29.8%
Player Fouled 22.4% 22.8%
Turnover 13.3% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVA CLEM
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 21.7%