Virginia at VA Tech: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Feb 26, 2020 7:00 pm - Blacksburg, VA
Odds: Virginia by 2.5, Total Points: 114

More Games From Feb 26, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVA VT
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UVA VT
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 53.6
Field Goal % 43.1% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.2 29.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 30.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.0 14.0
Free Throw % 62.1% 79.8%
Ball Control UVA VT
Rebounds 33.3 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 7.4
Turnovers 7.3 10.2
Blocked Shots 4.5 2.5
Steals 6.3 3.9
Fouls 12.7 11.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVA VT
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UVA VT
2 Point Attempt 54.6% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.7% 32.2%
Player Fouled 17.8% 19.7%
Turnover 11.3% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVA VT
Shot Blocked 4.7% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 22.8%