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Virginia at Florida: Point Spread Analysis
Wednesday Dec 4, 2024 7:15 pm -
Gainesville, FL
Odds:
Florida by 17.5,
Total Points:
134
Matchup Menu: UVA @ FLA
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Virginia +17.5 | Official TR Pick | Virginia 52% odds to cover |
| Virginia +17.5 | Decision Tree | Virginia 52% odds to cover |
| Virginia +17.5 | Predictive Ratings | Virginia 53% odds to cover |
| Florida -17.5 | Power Rating Model | Florida 56% odds to cover |
| Florida -17.5 | Similar Games | Florida 52% odds to cover |
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UVA | adv | FLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-17-2 | 18-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-0 | 14-6-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 8-8-1 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 9-9-1 | 11-9-0 |
Virginia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | Rider | -26.5 | W by 34 | +7.5 |
| 11/07 | Home | NC Central | -34.0 | W by 19 | -15.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Hampton | -24.0 | W by 38 | +14.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Marshall | -20.5 | W by 26 | +5.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Northwestern | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Butler | -7.0 | L by 7 | -14.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Queens | -25.0 | W by 25 | 0.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Texas | +3.0 | W by 19 | +22.0 |
| 12/06 | Neutral | Dayton | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Maryland ES | -36.5 | W by 24 | -12.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Maryland | -16.5 | W by 8 | -8.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | American | -27.5 | W by 44 | +16.5 |
| 12/31 | Away | Virginia Tech | -6.0 | L by 10 | -16.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | NC State | +4.0 | W by 15 | +19.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | California | -14.0 | W by 24 | +10.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Stanford | -12.5 | W by 15 | +2.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Louisville | +4.5 | W by 9 | +13.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | SMU | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | North Carolina | -6.5 | L by 5 | -11.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Notre Dame | -9.5 | W by 3 | -6.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Boston College | -12.5 | W by 7 | -5.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Pittsburgh | -12.5 | W by 20 | +7.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Syracuse | -14.0 | W by 13 | -1.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida St | -8.0 | W by 3 | -5.0 |
| 02/14 | Neutral | Ohio St | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | Georgia Tech | -13.0 | W by 26 | +13.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Miami | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | NC State | -6.5 | W by 29 | +22.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Duke | +9.5 | L by 26 | -16.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Wake Forest | -14.5 | W by 5 | -9.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Virginia Tech | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | NC State | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Miami | -3.5 | W by 22 | +18.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Duke | +6.5 | L by 4 | +2.5 |
| 03/20 | Neutral | Wright St | -17.5 | W by 9 | -8.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Tennessee | +1.5 | L by 7 | -5.5 |
Florida Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Neutral | Arizona | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | N Florida | -43.0 | W by 40 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Florida St | -18.0 | W by 2 | -16.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Miami | -11.0 | W by 14 | +3.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | Merrimack | -36.5 | W by 35 | -1.5 |
| 11/27 | Neutral | TCU | -11.0 | L by 4 | -15.0 |
| 11/28 | Neutral | Providence | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Duke | +9.5 | L by 1 | +8.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | UConn | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | G Washington | -13.5 | W by 10 | -3.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | St Francis PA | -44.5 | W by 41 | -3.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Colgate | -27.5 | W by 30 | +2.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Dartmouth | -35.5 | W by 22 | -13.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Missouri | -7.5 | L by 2 | -9.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Georgia | -9.5 | W by 15 | +5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Oklahoma | -7.5 | W by 17 | +9.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Vanderbilt | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | LSU | -15.5 | W by 18 | +2.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Auburn | -11.5 | L by 9 | -20.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | South Carolina | -13.5 | W by 47 | +33.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Alabama | -9.0 | W by 23 | +14.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Texas A&M | -5.0 | W by 19 | +14.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Georgia | -9.5 | W by 20 | +10.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Kentucky | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | South Carolina | -23.5 | W by 14 | -9.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Mississippi | -13.5 | W by 19 | +5.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | Texas | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Arkansas | -9.5 | W by 34 | +24.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Mississippi St | -20.5 | W by 34 | +13.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Kentucky | -5.5 | W by 7 | +1.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Kentucky | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -7.5 | L by 17 | -24.5 |
| 03/20 | Neutral | Prairie View | -35.5 | W by 59 | +23.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Iowa | -10.5 | L by 1 | -11.5 |