Virginia vs. Florida: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Mar 16, 2012 2:10 pm - Omaha, NE (Neutral Site)
Odds: Florida by 2.5, Total Points: 122

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 122.0 Official TR Pick 54% odds to go under
Under 122.0 Decision Tree 54% odds to go under
Over 122.0 Similar Games 52% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record UVA FLA
Season 15-19-0 23-12-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 13-9-0 13-9-0
Streak Un 1 Ov 1
Last 5 3-2-0 4-1-0
Last 10 5-5-0 8-2-0
Home 6-11-0 9-6-0
Away 9-8-0 14-6-1

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Virginia Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
11/06 Home Tarleton St 123.5 80-50 Over +6.5
11/10 Neutral Florida 133.5 73-70 Over +9.5
11/14 Home NC A&T 132.5 80-51 Under -1.5
11/16 Home TX Southern 129.0 62-33 Under -34.0
11/20 Neutral Wisconsin 126.0 41-65 Under -20.0
11/22 Neutral W Virginia 121.0 56-54 Under -11.0
11/29 Home Texas A&M 124.5 59-47 Under -18.5
12/02 Home Syracuse 128.5 84-62 Over +17.5
12/05 Home NC Central 124.5 77-47 Under -0.5
12/16 Home Northeastrn 126.0 56-54 Under -16.0
12/19 Away Memphis 132.5 54-77 Under -1.5
12/27 Home Morgan St 132.0 79-44 Under -9.0
12/30 Away Notre Dame 116.0 54-76 Over +14.0
01/03 Home Louisville 128.0 77-53 Over +2.0
01/06 Away NC State 128.0 60-76 Over +8.0
01/13 Away Wake Forest 129.5 47-66 Under -16.5
01/17 Home VA Tech 124.5 65-57 Under -2.5
01/20 Away GA Tech 128.0 75-66 Over +13.0
01/24 Home NC State 130.5 59-53 Under -18.5
01/27 Away Louisville 129.5 69-52 Under -8.5
01/31 Home Notre Dame 113.0 65-53 Over +5.0
02/03 Away Clemson 126.5 66-65 Over +4.5
02/05 Home Miami 131.5 60-38 Under -33.5
02/10 Away Florida St 127.5 80-76 Over +28.5
02/13 Home Pittsburgh 122.0 63-74 Over +15.0
02/17 Home Wake Forest 129.0 49-47 Under -33.0
02/19 Away VA Tech 127.5 41-75 Under -11.5
02/24 Home N Carolina 132.0 44-54 Under -34.0
02/28 Away Boston Col 126.5 72-68 Over +13.5
03/02 Away Duke 125.0 48-73 Under -4.0
03/09 Home GA Tech 123.5 72-57 Over +5.5
03/14 Neutral Boston Col 125.0 66-60 Over +1.0
03/15 Neutral NC State 122.5 65-73 Over +15.5
03/19 Neutral Colorado St 121.0 42-67 Under -12.0

Florida Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
11/06 Home Loyola-MD 142.5 93-73 Over +23.5
11/10 Neutral Virginia 133.5 70-73 Over +9.5
11/14 Home Florida A&M 143.5 89-68 Over +13.5
11/17 Home Florida St 156.0 89-68 Over +1.0
11/22 Neutral Pittsburgh 157.0 86-71 Push 0.0
11/24 Neutral Baylor 157.0 91-95 Over +29.0
11/29 Away Wake Forest 156.0 71-82 Under -3.0
12/05 Home Merrimack 149.5 77-57 Under -15.5
12/09 Neutral Richmond 154.0 87-76 Over +9.0
12/14 Neutral E Carolina 153.0 70-65 Under -18.0
12/19 Neutral Michigan 158.5 106-101 Over +48.5
12/22 Home Grambling St 146.5 96-57 Over +6.5
12/30 Home Quinnipiac 163.0 97-72 Over +6.0
01/06 Home Kentucky 170.0 85-87 Over +2.0
01/10 Away Mississippi 157.0 85-103 Over +31.0
01/13 Home Arkansas 165.5 90-68 Under -7.5
01/16 Away Tennessee 160.0 66-85 Under -9.0
01/20 Away Missouri 160.5 79-67 Under -14.5
01/24 Home Miss State 150.5 79-70 Under -1.5
01/27 Home Georgia 160.5 102-98 Over +39.5
01/31 Away Kentucky 170.5 94-91 Over +14.5
02/03 Away Texas A&M 151.0 66-67 Under -18.0
02/10 Home Auburn 157.5 81-65 Under -11.5
02/13 Home LSU 163.0 82-80 Under -1.0
02/17 Away Georgia 156.0 88-82 Over +14.0
02/21 Away Alabama 174.5 93-98 Over +16.5
02/24 Home Vanderbilt 150.5 77-64 Under -9.5
02/28 Home Missouri 153.5 83-74 Over +3.5
03/02 Away S Carolina 144.5 76-82 Over +13.5
03/05 Home Alabama 176.0 105-87 Over +16.0
03/09 Away Vanderbilt 152.5 78-79 Over +4.5
03/14 Neutral Georgia 155.5 85-80 Over +9.5
03/15 Neutral Alabama 175.0 102-88 Over +15.0
03/16 Neutral Texas A&M 152.0 95-90 Over +33.0
03/17 Neutral Auburn 158.0 67-86 Under -5.0
03/22 Neutral Colorado 157.0 100-102 Over +45.0