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Virginia vs. Vanderbilt: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Nov 23, 2017 4:00 pm - Brooklyn, NY (Neutral Site)
Odds: Virginia by 6, Total Points: 125

Matchup Menu: UVA @ VAN

More Games From Nov 23, 2017

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVA VAN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UVA VAN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 56.6
Field Goal % 43.8% 36.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 44.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 24.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.4 14.4
Free Throw % 62.1% 70.7%
Ball Control UVA VAN
Rebounds 36.9 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 9.9
Turnovers 6.9 9.5
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.2
Steals 5.1 4.4
Fouls 12.0 10.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVA VAN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UVA VAN
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 30.9%
Player Fouled 16.7% 18.6%
Turnover 10.7% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVA VAN
Shot Blocked 5.9% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 26.2%