Virginia at Louisville: Recap

Tuesday Jan 13, 2026 7:00 pm - Louisville, KY
Odds: Louisville by 4.5, Total Points: 155

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Louisville UVA 34.9%
LOU 65.1%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
LOU -4.5 UVA 49.5%
LOU 50.5%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 153.0 Over 48.0%
Under 52.0%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off UVA -0.9%
LOU -3.4%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
UVA 73.7 74.2 79
LOU 78.4 78.8 70

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat UVA LOU
Points/Game 81.4 86.9
Avg Score Margin +14.0 +16.0
Assists/Game 16.7 17.9
Total Rebounds/Gm 41.6 39.9
Effective FG % 54.4% 56.7%
Off Rebound % 38.4% 32.5%
FTA/FGA 0.351 0.356
Turnover % 13.2% 13.8%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat UVA LOU
Opp Points/Game 67.4 70.9
Opp Effective FG % 45.0% 46.8%
Off Rebounds/Gm 12.3 10.5
Def Rebounds/Gm 25.4 27.2
Blocks/Game 5.8 3.4
Steals/Game 6.5 7.0
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.4 18.8