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Louisville vs. Michigan St: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Mar 22, 2012 7:47 pm - Phoenix, AZ (Neutral Site)
Odds: Michigan St. by 5.5, Total Points: 125

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Michigan St -5.0 Official TR Pick Michigan St 53% odds to cover
Michigan St -5.0 Decision Tree Michigan St 53% odds to cover
Louisville +5.0 Similar Games Louisville 50% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record LOU adv MSU
Season 13-18-1 19-15-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-11-1 11-10-1
Streak W1 L1
Last 5 1-4-0 3-2-0
Last 10 3-7-0 5-5-0
Home 5-12-1 11-7-0
Away 8-6-0 8-8-1

Louisville Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Maryland BC -7.5 W by 1 -6.5
11/10 Home Chattanooga -4.0 L by 10 -14.0
11/15 Home Coppin St -17.5 W by 20 +2.5
11/19 Neutral Texas +17.5 L by 1 +16.5
11/20 Neutral Indiana +8.5 L by 8 +0.5
11/26 Home N Mex State -8.5 W by 6 -2.5
11/29 Home Bellarmine -5.5 W by 5 -0.5
12/03 Away VA Tech +14.0 L by 7 +7.0
12/09 Away DePaul +2.0 L by 7 -5.0
12/13 Home Arkansas St -3.5 L by 12 -15.5
12/17 Home Pepperdine -1.0 W by 22 +21.0
12/21 Home Kentucky +14.0 L by 19 -5.0
01/03 Away Virginia +15.5 L by 24 -8.5
01/06 Home Pittsburgh +8.5 L by 13 -4.5
01/10 Away Miami +16.5 W by 9 +25.5
01/13 Home NC State +7.5 L by 6 +1.5
01/17 Away N Carolina +21.0 L by 16 +5.0
01/20 Away Wake Forest +16.0 L by 25 -9.0
01/23 Home Duke +14.0 L by 14 0.0
01/27 Home Virginia +9.0 L by 17 -8.0
01/30 Away Clemson +16.0 L by 6 +10.0
02/03 Home Florida St +5.5 W by 9 +14.5
02/07 Away Syracuse +8.5 L by 2 +6.5
02/10 Home GA Tech -1.0 W by 12 +11.0
02/13 Away Boston Col +9.5 L by 12 -2.5
02/17 Away Pittsburgh +12.5 L by 27 -14.5
02/21 Home Notre Dame -3.0 L by 22 -25.0
02/28 Away Duke +20.5 L by 25 -4.5
03/02 Home Syracuse +5.0 L by 6 -1.0
03/05 Home VA Tech +7.5 L by 16 -8.5
03/09 Home Boston Col +4.5 L by 6 -1.5
03/12 Neutral NC State +9.5 L by 9 +0.5

Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home James Mad -16.5 L by 3 -19.5
11/09 Home S Indiana -32.0 W by 23 -9.0
11/14 Neutral Duke +4.0 L by 9 -5.0
11/17 Home Butler -10.0 W by 20 +10.0
11/19 Home Alcorn St -23.0 W by 32 +9.0
11/23 Neutral Arizona +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
11/28 Home GA Southern -28.5 W by 31 +2.5
12/05 Home Wisconsin -5.5 L by 13 -18.5
12/10 Away Nebraska -3.5 L by 7 -10.5
12/16 Neutral Baylor +3.5 W by 24 +27.5
12/18 Home Oakland -15.5 W by 17 +1.5
12/21 Home Stony Brook -22.5 W by 44 +21.5
12/30 Home Indiana St -8.5 W by 12 +3.5
01/04 Home Penn St -13.5 W by 31 +17.5
01/07 Away Northwestern -3.0 L by 14 -17.0
01/11 Away Illinois +3.0 L by 3 0.0
01/14 Home Rutgers -10.5 W by 18 +7.5
01/18 Home Minnesota -12.0 W by 10 -2.0
01/21 Away Maryland -1.0 W by 2 +1.0
01/26 Away Wisconsin +3.0 L by 15 -12.0
01/30 Home Michigan -12.0 W by 19 +7.0
02/03 Home Maryland -6.0 W by 9 +3.0
02/06 Away Minnesota -3.0 L by 3 -6.0
02/10 Home Illinois -3.5 W by 8 +4.5
02/14 Away Penn St -3.0 W by 8 +5.0
02/17 Away Michigan -6.0 W by 10 +4.0
02/20 Home Iowa -9.5 L by 7 -16.5
02/25 Home Ohio St -10.0 L by 3 -13.0
03/02 Away Purdue +10.0 L by 6 +4.0
03/06 Home Northwestern -9.0 W by 4 -5.0
03/10 Away Indiana -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
03/14 Neutral Minnesota -7.0 W by 10 +3.0
03/15 Neutral Purdue +7.5 L by 5 +2.5
03/21 Neutral Miss State -1.5 W by 18 +16.5
03/23 Neutral N Carolina +4.0 L by 16 -12.0