Louisville vs. Michigan St : Recap

Thursday Mar 22, 2012 7:47 pm - Phoenix, AZ (Neutral Site)
Odds: Michigan St by 5.5, Total Points: 125

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Michigan St LOU 26.5%
MIST 73.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIST -5.0 LOU 46.7%
MIST 53.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 125.0 Over 51.3%
Under 48.7%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
MIST -235 LOU -5.7%
MIST +3.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
LOU 63.8 60.0 57
MIST 70.0 65.0 44

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat LOU MIST
Points/Game 77.3 71.9
Avg Score Margin +11.3 +3.2
Assists/Game 13.6 16.9
Total Rebounds/Gm 39.5 36.4
Effective FG % 51.4% 54.0%
Off Rebound % 35.9% 28.5%
FTA/FGA 0.340 0.335
Turnover % 13.3% 17.9%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat LOU MIST
Opp Points/Game 66.0 68.7
Opp Effective FG % 45.7% 46.7%
Off Rebounds/Gm 12.2 8.5
Def Rebounds/Gm 25.0 25.7
Blocks/Game 5.5 4.6
Steals/Game 6.7 4.3
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.2 20.0