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Louisville vs. Michigan St : Recap

Thursday Mar 22, 2012 7:47 pm - Phoenix, AZ (Neutral Site)
Odds: Michigan St by 5.5, Total Points: 125

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Michigan St LOU 26.5%
MIST 73.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIST -5.0 LOU 46.7%
MIST 53.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 125.0 Over 51.3%
Under 48.7%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
MIST -235 LOU -5.7%
MIST +3.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
LOU 63.8 60.0 57
MIST 70.0 65.0 44

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat LOU MIST
Points/Game 75.6 80.2
Avg Score Margin +5.2 +15.3
Assists/Game 13.6 19.1
Total Rebounds/Gm 36.5 41.1
Effective FG % 51.9% 56.9%
Off Rebound % 27.4% 35.9%
FTA/FGA 0.320 0.359
Turnover % 14.6% 16.3%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat LOU MIST
Opp Points/Game 70.4 64.9
Opp Effective FG % 47.0% 42.7%
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.0 10.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 25.9 28.3
Blocks/Game 5.9 7.2
Steals/Game 7.0 4.1
Personal Fouls/Gm 16.2 18.3