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Louisville vs. Michigan St: Recap

Thursday Mar 22, 2012 7:47 pm - Phoenix, AZ (Neutral Site)
Odds: Michigan St. by 5.5, Total Points: 125

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Michigan St LOU 26.5%
MSU 73.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MSU -5.0 LOU 46.7%
MSU 53.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 125.0 Over 51.3%
Under 48.7%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
MSU -235 LOU -5.7%
MSU +3.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
LOU 63.8 60.0 57
MSU 70.0 65.0 44

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat LOU MSU
Points/Game 72.0 72.9
Avg Score Margin -7.1 +6.8
Assists/Game 11.1 15.9
Total Rebounds/Gm 34.4 34.7
Effective FG % 48.4% 51.6%
Off Rebound % 26.0% 28.6%
FTA/FGA 0.388 0.293
Turnover % 15.9% 13.0%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat LOU MSU
Opp Points/Game 79.1 66.1
Opp Effective FG % 54.6% 48.1%
Off Rebounds/Gm 8.7 8.7
Def Rebounds/Gm 23.8 23.1
Blocks/Game 2.6 3.8
Steals/Game 5.4 7.1
Personal Fouls/Gm 17.0 16.6