Louisville vs. Michigan St : Recap

Thursday Mar 22, 2012 7:47 pm - Phoenix, AZ (Neutral Site)
Odds: Michigan St by 5.5, Total Points: 125

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Michigan St LOU 26.5%
MIST 73.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIST -5.0 LOU 46.7%
MIST 53.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 125.0 Over 51.3%
Under 48.7%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
MIST -235 LOU -5.7%
MIST +3.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
LOU 63.8 60.0 57
MIST 70.0 65.0 44

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat LOU MIST
Points/Game 77.3 72.0
Avg Score Margin +12.8 +3.0
Assists/Game 13.5 17.5
Total Rebounds/Gm 39.8 36.2
Effective FG % 51.0% 54.8%
Off Rebound % 35.6% 27.9%
FTA/FGA 0.346 0.345
Turnover % 13.3% 18.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat LOU MIST
Opp Points/Game 64.5 69.0
Opp Effective FG % 44.5% 46.4%
Off Rebounds/Gm 12.4 8.3
Def Rebounds/Gm 25.1 25.7
Blocks/Game 5.8 4.9
Steals/Game 7.0 4.8
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.3 20.3