Louisville vs. Michigan St : Recap

Thursday Mar 22, 2012 7:47 pm - Phoenix, AZ (Neutral Site)
Odds: Michigan St by 5.5, Total Points: 125

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Michigan St LOU 26.5%
MIST 73.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIST -5.0 LOU 46.7%
MIST 53.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 125.0 Over 51.3%
Under 48.7%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
MIST -235 LOU -5.7%
MIST +3.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
LOU 63.8 60.0 57
MIST 70.0 65.0 44

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat LOU MIST
Points/Game 77.8 85.3
Avg Score Margin +9.8 +21.1
Assists/Game 13.5 20.9
Total Rebounds/Gm 39.5 42.3
Effective FG % 51.6% 59.9%
Off Rebound % 30.9% 37.9%
FTA/FGA 0.316 0.381
Turnover % 14.9% 17.3%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat LOU MIST
Opp Points/Game 68.0 64.1
Opp Effective FG % 44.0% 41.4%
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.5 10.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 27.6 29.4
Blocks/Game 7.1 7.9
Steals/Game 7.5 4.5
Personal Fouls/Gm 16.9 18.2