Louisville at W Virginia : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 11, 2012 12:00 pm - Morgantown, WV
Odds: West Virginia by 3, Total Points: 135.5

More Games From Feb 11, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LOU WVIR
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting LOU WVIR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 58.8
Field Goal % 44.1% 38.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 43.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 39.2% 29.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 26.4 26.4
Free Throw % 68.1% 69.8%
Ball Control LOU WVIR
Rebounds 40.7 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 21.8
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 13.2
Turnovers 14.9 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.7
Steals 5.2 7.1
Fouls 18.4 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LOU WVIR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with LOU WVIR
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.2% 22.7%
Player Fouled 25.3% 25.1%
Turnover 20.3% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LOU WVIR
Shot Blocked 6.3% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 38.4% 32.8%