Lamar at Ste F Austin: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 29, 2020 5:30 pm - Nacogdoches, TX
Odds: Stephen F. Austin by 11.5, Total Points: 140

More Games From Feb 29, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAM SFA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting LAM SFA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.2 52.3
Field Goal % 42.1% 57.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 64.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 11.4 13.4
3 Point Shooting % 25.8% 34.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.8 22.9
Free Throw % 73.1% 68.9%
Ball Control LAM SFA
Rebounds 24.6 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 17.8 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 8.9
Turnovers 16.5 17.3
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.5
Steals 8.8 7.4
Fouls 18.3 21.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +1.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAM SFA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with LAM SFA
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 13.6% 15.7%
Player Fouled 27.9% 24.2%
Turnover 21.8% 22.9%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 11.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAM SFA
Shot Blocked 6.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 33.4%