This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2023-24 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2024-25 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

Lamar vs. Ste F Austin: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Mar 8, 2012 7:05 pm - Katy, TX (Neutral Site)
Odds: Lamar by 2, Total Points: 119.5

Matchup Menu: LAM @ SFA

More Games From Mar 8, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAM SFA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting LAM SFA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 54.2
Field Goal % 42.8% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 33.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 27.7
Free Throw % 72.1% 70.3%
Ball Control LAM SFA
Rebounds 33.2 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 13.1
Turnovers 15.1 14.7
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.4
Steals 6.8 7.8
Fouls 19.0 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAM SFA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with LAM SFA
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 38.1%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 23.3%
Player Fouled 24.9% 25.8%
Turnover 20.5% 19.9%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAM SFA
Shot Blocked 4.6% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.8% 36.9%