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Louisville at Virginia: Recap
Saturday Jan 4, 2025 4:00 pm -
Charlottesville, VA
Odds:
Louisville by 5.5,
Total Points:
130.5
Matchup Menu: LOU @ UVA
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | LOU | 66.6% | ||
| UVA | 33.4% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA +5.5 | LOU | 48.1% | ||
| UVA | 51.9% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 130.5 | Over | 44.5% | ||
| Under | 55.5% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | LOU | -1.6% | ||
| UVA | -1.7% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOU | 66.7 | 68.0 | 70 |
| UVA | 61.7 | 62.5 | 50 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | LOU | UVA |
|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 84.3 | 80.4 |
| Avg Score Margin | +11.7 | +11.6 |
| Assists/Game | 17.1 | 16.3 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm | 38.3 | 40.0 |
| Effective FG % | 56.5% | 54.6% |
| Off Rebound % | 31.6% | 36.8% |
| FTA/FGA | 0.331 | 0.323 |
| Turnover % | 14.5% | 13.4% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | LOU | UVA |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 72.5 | 68.8 |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.7% | 45.7% |
| Off Rebounds/Gm | 10.1 | 11.4 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm | 25.9 | 24.9 |
| Blocks/Game | 3.3 | 6.4 |
| Steals/Game | 6.8 | 6.3 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm | 18.5 | 17.4 |