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S Florida at Villanova

  Thursday Jan 5, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Villanova, PA | Odds: Villanova by 7.5, Total Points: 126.5 | Team Pages: USF | VILA

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring USF VILA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting USF VILA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.3 51.6
Field Goal % 38.7% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 29.4
2 Point Shooting % 42.3% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 12.8 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 27.4% 44.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.3 28.1
Free Throw % 61.8% 73.4%

Ball Control USF VILA
Rebounds 29.7 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 20.0 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 10.8
Turnovers 13.7 8.7
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.1
Steals 4.0 7.6
Fouls 18.3 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USF VILA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with USF VILA
2 Point Attempt 52.0% 37.3%
3 Point Attempt 16.5% 28.3%
Player Fouled 20.6% 27.5%
Turnover 20.6% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 11.4% 6.0%

Odds Per Shot Taken USF VILA
Shot Blocked 8.0% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 35.1%