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Buffalo at Toledo: Point Spread Line Movement

Friday Mar 6, 2026 7:00 pm - Toledo, OH
Odds: Toledo by 5.5, Total Points: 155.5

Matchup Menu: BUFF @ TOL

More Games From Mar 6, 2026
TOL Spread BUFF Spread
TOL -5.5 Open -7.5 High -8.5
Last -6.5 Low -5.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3734 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Toledo won the game 2562 times (68.6%).
  • The team like Buffalo won the game 1172 times (31.4%).
  • The team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 1860-1834-40 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 NCAA Basketball season there have been 984 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 497-465-22 (51.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -- -5.5 --
Open -- -7.5 --
History
03/06 06:56 PM -- -5.5 --
03/06 06:19 PM -- -5.5 --
03/06 05:21 PM -- -6.5 --
03/06 04:51 PM -- -6.5 --
03/05 11:44 PM -- -8.5 --
03/05 06:26 PM -- -8.5 --
03/05 05:17 PM -- -7.5 --