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Buffalo at Toledo: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Mar 6, 2026 7:00 pm - Toledo, OH
Odds: Toledo by 5.5, Total Points: 155.5

Matchup Menu: BUFF @ TOL

More Games From Mar 6, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 155.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 155.5	Similar Games	51% odds to go under
Under 155.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	BUFF	TOL
Season	16-14-0	13-19-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	10-9-0	9-12-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 2
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	4-6-0
Home	7-6-0	6-7-0
Away	9-8-0	7-12-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Buffalo Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Southern Miss	154.0	85-79	Over	+10.0
11/07	Home	Green Bay	148.0	83-76	Over	+11.0
11/11	Away	DePaul	153.5	66-53	Under	-34.5
11/15	Home	RIT	--	80-64	Under	--
11/18	Home	Vermont	141.5	94-90	Over	+42.5
11/24	Neutral	VMI	151.0	78-70	Under	-3.0
11/26	Neutral	Bucknell	147.0	73-71	Under	-3.0
11/29	Away	Canisius	139.0	71-53	Under	-15.0
12/06	Home	St Bonaventure	144.0	69-77	Over	+2.0
12/09	Away	UMBC	145.5	83-79	Over	+16.5
12/14	Away	E Carolina	146.5	70-73	Under	-3.5
12/20	Away	W Michigan	151.0	88-71	Over	+8.0
12/22	Home	Penn St.-Behrend	--	92-63	Under	--
12/31	Away	N Illinois	155.0	81-67	Under	-7.0
01/03	Home	Ball St	144.5	85-72	Over	+12.5
01/10	Away	Ohio	156.0	80-91	Over	+15.0
01/13	Home	Kent St	165.5	81-87	Over	+2.5
01/17	Away	Miami OH	162.5	102-105	Over	+44.5
01/20	Home	Akron	166.5	63-82	Under	-21.5
01/23	Home	UMass	159.5	67-68	Under	-24.5
01/27	Away	Bowling Green	150.0	89-78	Over	+17.0
01/31	Home	Ohio	156.5	83-95	Over	+21.5
02/03	Home	Miami OH	164.5	71-73	Under	-20.5
02/07	Away	S Alabama	144.0	69-81	Over	+6.0
02/11	Away	Ball St	141.5	63-53	Under	-25.5
02/17	Home	N Illinois	147.0	70-72	Under	-5.0
02/21	Away	UMass	151.5	86-82	Over	+16.5
02/24	Away	Akron	160.5	85-99	Over	+23.5
02/28	Home	C Michigan	151.5	70-75	Under	-6.5
03/03	Home	E Michigan	144.5	72-67	Under	-5.5
03/06	Away	Toledo	155.5	78-98	Over	+20.5
03/12	Neutral	Akron	158.5	70-73	Under	-15.5

Toledo Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	S Alabama	151.0	74-76	Under	-1.0
11/08	Home	Marshall	161.0	73-85	Under	-3.0
11/11	Away	Wright St	159.0	81-71	Under	-7.0
11/15	Home	Detroit Mercy	158.5	90-83	Over	+14.5
11/19	Home	Youngstown St	160.5	92-75	Over	+6.5
11/24	Neutral	Troy	160.5	75-68	Under	-17.5
11/26	Neutral	Belmont	163.5	72-87	Under	-4.5
12/01	Home	Central State (OH)	--	102-58	Under	--
12/06	Away	Oakland	166.5	97-98	Over	+28.5
12/13	Away	Robert Morris	154.5	70-75	Under	-9.5
12/16	Away	Michigan St	150.5	69-92	Over	+10.5
12/20	Home	Lourdes	--	100-67	Under	--
12/30	Home	W Michigan	160.0	84-79	Over	+3.0
01/03	Away	C Michigan	158.0	78-75	Under	-5.0
01/06	Away	N Illinois	160.0	75-61	Under	-24.0
01/09	Home	Miami OH	166.0	73-87	Under	-6.0
01/13	Home	Ohio	161.5	101-85	Over	+24.5
01/16	Away	Kent St	168.0	84-87	Over	+3.0
01/20	Away	UMass	163.5	82-84	Over	+2.5
01/24	Home	Bowling Green	156.5	73-72	Under	-11.5
01/27	Away	Akron	169.5	81-91	Over	+2.5
01/31	Home	Ball St	146.5	73-55	Under	-18.5
02/03	Home	Kent St	161.5	72-75	Under	-14.5
02/07	Away	J Madison	153.0	71-73	Under	-9.0
02/11	Away	W Michigan	155.0	90-79	Over	+14.0
02/14	Away	Bowling Green	151.0	70-80	Under	-1.0
02/21	Home	E Michigan	146.5	94-75	Over	+22.5
02/24	Home	N Illinois	149.5	79-69	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Ohio	158.5	79-67	Under	-12.5
03/03	Away	Miami OH	162.5	72-74	Under	-16.5
03/06	Home	Buffalo	155.5	98-78	Over	+20.5
03/12	Neutral	Bowling Green	150.5	77-76	Over	+2.5
03/13	Neutral	UMass	158.5	77-67	Under	-14.5
03/14	Neutral	Akron	157.5	76-79	Under	-2.5