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Buffalo at Toledo: Money Line Analysis

Friday Mar 6, 2026 7:00 pm - Toledo, OH
Odds: Toledo by 5.5, Total Points: 155.5

Money Line Predictions

Value Pick Model Confidence
Buffalo +200 Official TR Pick Model shows 1% value
Buffalo +200 Similar Games Model shows 1% value
Toledo -250 Predictive Ratings Model shows 5% value

Money Line Situational Trends

Record BUFF adv TOL
Season 17-14 17-14
vs Division 0-0 0-0
vs Conference 7-12 13-8
Streak L2 L1
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Last 10 3-7 7-3
Home 7-8 11-4
Away 10-7 8-11

Buffalo Detailed Win/Loss Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Score Result Margin
11/03 Home Southern Miss 85-79 W +6.0
11/07 Home Green Bay 83-76 W +7.0
11/11 Away DePaul 66-53 W +13.0
11/15 Home RIT 80-64 W +16.0
11/18 Home Vermont 94-90 W +4.0
11/24 Neutral VMI 78-70 W +8.0
11/26 Neutral Bucknell 73-71 W +2.0
11/29 Away Canisius 71-53 W +18.0
12/06 Home St Bonaventure 69-77 L -8.0
12/09 Away UMBC 83-79 W +4.0
12/14 Away E Carolina 70-73 L -3.0
12/20 Away W Michigan 88-71 W +17.0
12/22 Home Penn St.-Behrend 92-63 W +29.0
12/31 Away N Illinois 81-67 W +14.0
01/03 Home Ball St 85-72 W +13.0
01/10 Away Ohio 80-91 L -11.0
01/13 Home Kent St 81-87 L -6.0
01/17 Away Miami OH 102-105 L -3.0
01/20 Home Akron 63-82 L -19.0
01/23 Home UMass 67-68 L -1.0
01/27 Away Bowling Green 89-78 W +11.0
01/31 Home Ohio 83-95 L -12.0
02/03 Home Miami OH 71-73 L -2.0
02/07 Away S Alabama 69-81 L -12.0
02/11 Away Ball St 63-53 W +10.0
02/17 Home N Illinois 70-72 L -2.0
02/21 Away UMass 86-82 W +4.0
02/24 Away Akron 85-99 L -14.0
02/28 Home C Michigan 70-75 L -5.0
03/03 Home E Michigan 72-67 W +5.0
03/06 Away Toledo 78-98 L -20.0
03/12 Neutral Akron 70-73 L -3.0

Toledo Detailed Win/Loss Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Score Result Margin
11/03 Home S Alabama 74-76 L -2.0
11/08 Home Marshall 73-85 L -12.0
11/11 Away Wright St 81-71 W +10.0
11/15 Home Detroit Mercy 90-83 W +7.0
11/19 Home Youngstown St 92-75 W +17.0
11/24 Neutral Troy 75-68 W +7.0
11/26 Neutral Belmont 72-87 L -15.0
12/01 Home Central State (OH) 102-58 W +44.0
12/06 Away Oakland 97-98 L -1.0
12/13 Away Robert Morris 70-75 L -5.0
12/16 Away Michigan St 69-92 L -23.0
12/20 Home Lourdes 100-67 W +33.0
12/30 Home W Michigan 84-79 W +5.0
01/03 Away C Michigan 78-75 W +3.0
01/06 Away N Illinois 75-61 W +14.0
01/09 Home Miami OH 73-87 L -14.0
01/13 Home Ohio 101-85 W +16.0
01/16 Away Kent St 84-87 L -3.0
01/20 Away UMass 82-84 L -2.0
01/24 Home Bowling Green 73-72 W +1.0
01/27 Away Akron 81-91 L -10.0
01/31 Home Ball St 73-55 W +18.0
02/03 Home Kent St 72-75 L -3.0
02/07 Away J Madison 71-73 L -2.0
02/11 Away W Michigan 90-79 W +11.0
02/14 Away Bowling Green 70-80 L -10.0
02/21 Home E Michigan 94-75 W +19.0
02/24 Home N Illinois 79-69 W +10.0
02/28 Away Ohio 79-67 W +12.0
03/03 Away Miami OH 72-74 L -2.0
03/06 Home Buffalo 98-78 W +20.0
03/12 Neutral Bowling Green 77-76 W +1.0
03/13 Neutral UMass 77-67 W +10.0
03/14 Neutral Akron 76-79 L -3.0