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Buffalo at Toledo: Point Spread Analysis

Friday Mar 6, 2026 7:00 pm - Toledo, OH
Odds: Toledo by 5.5, Total Points: 155.5

Matchup Menu: BUFF @ TOL

More Games From Mar 6, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Buffalo +5.5 Official TR Pick Buffalo 53% odds to cover
Buffalo +5.5 Power Rating Model Buffalo 56% odds to cover
Buffalo +5.5 Similar Games Buffalo 59% odds to cover
Buffalo +5.5 Decision Tree Buffalo 53% odds to cover
Toledo -5.5 Predictive Ratings Toledo 58% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record BUFF adv TOL
Season 18-12-0 18-13-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-8-0 14-7-0
Streak W1 W2
Last 5 2-3-0 4-1-0
Last 10 5-5-0 7-3-0
Home 6-7-0 6-7-0
Away 12-5-0 12-6-1

Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Southern Miss -3.5 W by 6 +2.5
11/07 Home Green Bay -4.0 W by 7 +3.0
11/11 Away DePaul +18.5 W by 13 +31.5
11/15 Home RIT -- W by 16 --
11/18 Home Vermont +2.0 W by 4 +6.0
11/24 Neutral VMI -7.5 W by 8 +0.5
11/26 Neutral Bucknell -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
11/29 Away Canisius -9.0 W by 18 +9.0
12/06 Home St Bonaventure +6.0 L by 8 -2.0
12/09 Away UMBC -3.0 W by 4 +1.0
12/14 Away E Carolina +1.5 L by 3 -1.5
12/20 Away W Michigan -2.5 W by 17 +14.5
12/22 Home Penn St.-Behrend -- W by 29 --
12/31 Away N Illinois -6.5 W by 14 +7.5
01/03 Home Ball St -6.0 W by 13 +7.0
01/10 Away Ohio +4.5 L by 11 -6.5
01/13 Home Kent St +2.0 L by 6 -4.0
01/17 Away Miami OH +10.5 L by 3 +7.5
01/20 Home Akron +8.5 L by 19 -10.5
01/23 Home UMass +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
01/27 Away Bowling Green +8.0 W by 11 +19.0
01/31 Home Ohio -2.5 L by 12 -14.5
02/03 Home Miami OH +4.5 L by 2 +2.5
02/07 Away S Alabama +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
02/11 Away Ball St -1.5 W by 10 +8.5
02/17 Home N Illinois -8.5 L by 2 -10.5
02/21 Away UMass +7.5 W by 4 +11.5
02/24 Away Akron +15.5 L by 14 +1.5
02/28 Home C Michigan -5.5 L by 5 -10.5
03/03 Home E Michigan -5.5 W by 5 -0.5
03/06 Away Toledo +5.5 L by 20 -14.5
03/12 Neutral Akron +12.5 L by 3 +9.5

Toledo Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home S Alabama -3.0 L by 2 -5.0
11/08 Home Marshall -2.5 L by 12 -14.5
11/11 Away Wright St +5.5 W by 10 +15.5
11/15 Home Detroit Mercy -10.0 W by 7 -3.0
11/19 Home Youngstown St -1.0 W by 17 +16.0
11/24 Neutral Troy +2.5 W by 7 +9.5
11/26 Neutral Belmont +4.5 L by 15 -10.5
12/01 Home Central State (OH) -- W by 44 --
12/06 Away Oakland +4.0 L by 1 +3.0
12/13 Away Robert Morris (Pick) L by 5 -5.0
12/16 Away Michigan St +23.0 L by 23 0.0
12/20 Home Lourdes -- W by 33 --
12/30 Home W Michigan -10.5 W by 5 -5.5
01/03 Away C Michigan -7.5 W by 3 -4.5
01/06 Away N Illinois -8.0 W by 14 +6.0
01/09 Home Miami OH -1.0 L by 14 -15.0
01/13 Home Ohio -2.0 W by 16 +14.0
01/16 Away Kent St +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
01/20 Away UMass +2.5 L by 2 +0.5
01/24 Home Bowling Green +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
01/27 Away Akron +12.5 L by 10 +2.5
01/31 Home Ball St -8.5 W by 18 +9.5
02/03 Home Kent St (Pick) L by 3 -3.0
02/07 Away J Madison -1.0 L by 2 -3.0
02/11 Away W Michigan -6.0 W by 11 +5.0
02/14 Away Bowling Green +4.0 L by 10 -6.0
02/21 Home E Michigan -8.5 W by 19 +10.5
02/24 Home N Illinois -12.5 W by 10 -2.5
02/28 Away Ohio +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
03/03 Away Miami OH +7.5 L by 2 +5.5
03/06 Home Buffalo -5.5 W by 20 +14.5
03/12 Neutral Bowling Green -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
03/13 Neutral UMass -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
03/14 Neutral Akron +7.5 L by 3 +4.5