Buffalo at Toledo: Recap

Friday Mar 6, 2026 7:00 pm - Toledo, OH
Odds: Toledo by 5.5, Total Points: 155.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Toledo BUFF 34.3%
TOL 65.7%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
BUFF +5.5 BUFF 52.9%
TOL 47.1%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 155.5 Over 47.1%
Under 52.9%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
BUFF +200 BUFF +1.0%
TOL -5.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
BUFF 74.7 75.0 78
TOL 79.5 80.5 98

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat BUFF TOL
Points/Game 77.8 80.1
Avg Score Margin +0.6 +2.3
Assists/Game 14.1 15.4
Total Rebounds/Gm 31.2 33.0
Effective FG % 55.4% 54.0%
Off Rebound % 26.1% 27.8%
FTA/FGA 0.396 0.311
Turnover % 14.2% 12.7%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat BUFF TOL
Opp Points/Game 77.1 77.8
Opp Effective FG % 55.2% 54.7%
Off Rebounds/Gm 7.7 8.7
Def Rebounds/Gm 20.6 20.6
Blocks/Game 2.9 2.8
Steals/Game 7.6 7.7
Personal Fouls/Gm 16.1 15.3