Buffalo at UMBC: Recap

Tuesday Dec 9, 2025 5:00 pm - Baltimore, MD
Odds: Buffalo by 3, Total Points: 145.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Buffalo BUFF 56.7%
UMBC 43.3%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
UMBC +3.0 BUFF 47.6%
UMBC 52.4%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 145.5 Over 44.2%
Under 55.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off BUFF -4.1%
UMBC -0.1%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
BUFF 72.8 74.2 83
UMBC 70.3 71.2 79

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat BUFF UMBC
Points/Game 79.5 73.1
Avg Score Margin +3.3 -0.3
Assists/Game 13.9 13.5
Total Rebounds/Gm 31.9 32.9
Effective FG % 55.4% 53.9%
Off Rebound % 27.8% 21.9%
FTA/FGA 0.439 0.304
Turnover % 13.6% 14.7%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat BUFF UMBC
Opp Points/Game 76.2 73.5
Opp Effective FG % 53.8% 52.3%
Off Rebounds/Gm 8.3 6.6
Def Rebounds/Gm 20.5 23.4
Blocks/Game 2.8 2.8
Steals/Game 7.9 4.3
Personal Fouls/Gm 16.8 13.6