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Citadel at Tennessee : Box Score Simulation

Thursday Dec 29, 2011 7:00 pm - Knoxville, TN
Odds: Tennessee by 21, Total Points: 138.5

More Games From Dec 29, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CTDL TENN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 64.4 62.0
Field Goal % 37.0% 53.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 44.7
2 Point Shooting % 38.7% 59.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 29.7 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 37.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 35.2
Free Throw % 74.6% 73.3%
Ball Control CTDL TENN
Rebounds 29.3 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 20.1 33.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 14.4
Turnovers 13.3 11.5
Blocked Shots 1.9 6.5
Steals 5.6 5.6
Fouls 21.8 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CTDL TENN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CTDL TENN
2 Point Attempt 37.2% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 17.9%
Player Fouled 21.6% 26.8%
Turnover 16.4% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CTDL TENN
Shot Blocked 10.7% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 41.6%