Butler at WI-Grn Bay : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 28, 2012 7:00 pm - Green Bay, WI
Odds: Butler by 2.5, Total Points: 123.5

More Games From Jan 28, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUTL WGB
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting BUTL WGB
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.2 53.7
Field Goal % 41.2% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 42.5% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 12.3 13.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 22.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 27.0 16.9
Free Throw % 69.0% 63.8%
Ball Control BUTL WGB
Rebounds 36.2 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 8.2
Turnovers 10.8 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.5 5.4
Steals 5.6 5.6
Fouls 14.5 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUTL WGB
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with BUTL WGB
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 52.5%
3 Point Attempt 15.6% 17.8%
Player Fouled 27.5% 21.7%
Turnover 16.1% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUTL WGB
Shot Blocked 10.2% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 24.0%