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Mississippi St at SMU: Point Spread Analysis
Friday Nov 22, 2024 8:30 pm -
Dallas, TX
Odds:
Mississippi State by 1.5,
Total Points:
157.5
Matchup Menu: MSST @ SMU
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| SMU +1.5 | Official TR Pick | SMU 52% odds to cover |
| SMU +1.5 | Decision Tree | SMU 52% odds to cover |
| SMU +1.5 | Predictive Ratings | SMU 55% odds to cover |
| Mississippi St -1.5 | Power Rating Model | Mississippi St 75% odds to cover |
| Mississippi St -1.5 | Similar Games | Mississippi St 53% odds to cover |
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSST | adv | SMU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-22-0 | 14-19-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-13-0 | 8-11-1 | |
| Streak | L6 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 4-12-0 | 7-11-0 | |
| Away | 6-10-0 | 7-8-1 |
Mississippi St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05 | Home | N Alabama | -24.5 | W by 24 | -0.5 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Iowa St | +5.0 | L by 16 | -11.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | SE Louisiana | -27.5 | W by 7 | -20.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Kansas St | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | New Mexico | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | New Orleans | -24.0 | W by 3 | -21.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | SMU | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Georgia Tech | -1.5 | W by 12 | +10.5 |
| 12/07 | Neutral | San Francisco | -4.5 | L by 3 | -7.5 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | Utah | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | LIU | -16.5 | W by 4 | -12.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Memphis | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Alabama St | -17.5 | W by 38 | +20.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Texas | +10.0 | W by 3 | +13.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Oklahoma | -1.0 | W by 19 | +18.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Kentucky | +10.5 | L by 24 | -13.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | +4.5 | L by 15 | -10.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Mississippi | -4.0 | L by 1 | -5.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Texas A&M | +8.5 | L by 20 | -11.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Vanderbilt | +7.5 | L by 32 | -24.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | LSU | +7.0 | W by 14 | +21.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Missouri | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Arkansas | +6.0 | L by 20 | -14.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Tennessee | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Mississippi | +3.5 | W by 12 | +15.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Auburn | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | South Carolina | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Alabama | +12.5 | L by 25 | -12.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Missouri | +1.5 | L by 24 | -22.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | Florida | +20.5 | L by 34 | -13.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Georgia | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Auburn | +8.5 | L by 18 | -9.5 |
SMU Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | Tarleton St | -21.5 | W by 20 | -1.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | Texas A&M-CC | -23.5 | W by 11 | -12.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Murray St | -9.5 | W by 11 | +1.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Butler | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | AR-Pine Bluff | -34.5 | W by 46 | +11.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Arkansas St | -14.5 | W by 31 | +16.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Radford | -25.0 | W by 17 | -8.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Mississippi St | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Vanderbilt | +10.5 | L by 19 | -8.5 |
| 12/07 | Neutral | Texas A&M | +1.5 | W by 13 | +14.5 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | LSU | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | C Arkansas | -24.5 | W by 17 | -7.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | CS Fullerton | -22.0 | W by 47 | +25.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | North Carolina | -1.0 | W by 14 | +13.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Clemson | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Duke | +16.0 | L by 7 | +9.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Virginia Tech | -9.0 | W by 1 | -8.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Virginia | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +1.5 | W by 12 | +13.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Florida St | -12.0 | W by 3 | -9.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Louisville | +9.5 | L by 14 | -4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | NC State | (Pick) | L by 1 | -1.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | W by 19 | +15.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Notre Dame | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Syracuse | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Louisville | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Boston College | -15.5 | W by 24 | +8.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | California | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Stanford | -1.5 | L by 20 | -21.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Miami | -1.5 | L by 8 | -9.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Florida St | +1.5 | L by 13 | -11.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Syracuse | -3.5 | W by 17 | +13.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Louisville | +6.5 | L by 4 | +2.5 |
| 03/18 | Neutral | Miami OH | -7.5 | L by 10 | -17.5 |