This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2017-18 NCAA BB season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2018-19 NCAA BB section, register for a free account.

Gonzaga at Xavier : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 31, 2011 8:00 pm - Cincinnati, OH
Odds: Xavier by 3, Total Points: 141.5

More Games From Dec 31, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GONZ XAV
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting GONZ XAV
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 63.7 58.3
Field Goal % 46.1% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 56.0% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 28.9 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 36.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 21.7
Free Throw % 70.4% 78.8%
Ball Control GONZ XAV
Rebounds 34.9 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 7.7
Turnovers 9.6 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.5
Steals 5.8 4.5
Fouls 17.6 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GONZ XAV
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with GONZ XAV
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 34.6% 23.6%
Player Fouled 20.6% 23.8%
Turnover 13.0% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken GONZ XAV
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 22.6%