S Car State at Iowa: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Dec 19, 2012 9:06 pm - Iowa City, IA
Odds: Iowa by 26.5, Total Points: 145

More Games From Dec 19, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCST IOWA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SCST IOWA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 53.5
Field Goal % 37.5% 54.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 43.5 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 39.0% 63.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 36.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 30.8
Free Throw % 70.0% 77.4%
Ball Control SCST IOWA
Rebounds 34.0 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 19.7 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 14.2 8.7
Turnovers 12.5 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.6
Steals 6.7 6.5
Fouls 20.3 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCST IOWA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SCST IOWA
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 21.6%
Player Fouled 18.7% 27.5%
Turnover 17.0% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCST IOWA
Shot Blocked 8.7% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 33.7% 30.6%