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Butler at Marquette: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Feb 9, 2020 12:00 pm - Milwaukee, WI
Odds: Marquette by 3.5, Total Points: 140

Matchup Menu: BUT @ MARQ

More Games From Feb 9, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUT MARQ
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting BUT MARQ
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 64.4
Field Goal % 42.4% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 27.0 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 35.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 12.4
Free Throw % 80.1% 68.8%
Ball Control BUT MARQ
Rebounds 34.6 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 8.6
Turnovers 12.7 9.0
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.2
Steals 5.0 8.9
Fouls 11.5 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUT MARQ
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with BUT MARQ
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 30.7%
Player Fouled 16.9% 15.9%
Turnover 17.5% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 12.3% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUT MARQ
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 25.0%