Georgia at Florida: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Feb 5, 2020 7:00 pm - Gainesville, FL
Odds: Florida by 9.5, Total Points: 142

More Games From Feb 5, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UGA FLA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UGA FLA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 62.4
Field Goal % 39.4% 52.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 44.5 42.6
2 Point Shooting % 40.4% 59.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 14.7 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 36.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 20.6
Free Throw % 68.7% 73.4%
Ball Control UGA FLA
Rebounds 34.1 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 11.4
Turnovers 16.8 14.1
Blocked Shots 2.1 7.4
Steals 7.7 7.9
Fouls 17.0 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UGA FLA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UGA FLA
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 15.7% 21.8%
Player Fouled 23.0% 21.6%
Turnover 21.3% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UGA FLA
Shot Blocked 11.9% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 34.4%