NC-Asheville at Winthrop: Box Score Simulation

Monday Jan 21, 2019 2:00 pm - Rock Hill, SC
Odds: Winthrop by 20.5, Total Points: 149

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCA WIN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UNCA WIN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 62.5
Field Goal % 46.6% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 42.8
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 34.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 26.1
Free Throw % 55.0% 69.1%
Ball Control UNCA WIN
Rebounds 31.7 41.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 13.3
Turnovers 16.5 13.2
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.1
Steals 6.4 8.1
Fouls 19.5 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCA WIN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UNCA WIN
2 Point Attempt 37.4% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 21.1%
Player Fouled 21.6% 24.7%
Turnover 20.9% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCA WIN
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 35.3%