S Car State at Jacksonville: Box Score Simulation

Monday Dec 30, 2019 7:00 pm - Jacksonville, FL
Odds: Jacksonville by 10.5, Total Points: 138

More Games From Dec 30, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCST JAC
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SCST JAC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 50.1
Field Goal % 40.9% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 44.4% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 33.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.6 27.5
Free Throw % 70.0% 69.8%
Ball Control SCST JAC
Rebounds 33.5 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.4 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 12.1
Turnovers 12.7 14.4
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.8
Steals 7.8 7.2
Fouls 18.6 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCST JAC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SCST JAC
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 37.9%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 22.0%
Player Fouled 25.3% 26.5%
Turnover 18.1% 20.5%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 11.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCST JAC
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 36.0% 37.2%