Miss State at Vanderbilt : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 21, 2012 7:00 pm - Nashville, TN
Odds: Vanderbilt by 6.5, Total Points: 138

More Games From Jan 21, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MSST VAND
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MSST VAND
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 65.8 57.9
Field Goal % 37.8% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 45.6 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 43.4% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 25.1% 39.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 23.1
Free Throw % 73.6% 67.2%
Ball Control MSST VAND
Rebounds 36.3 42.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 31.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 10.4
Turnovers 8.7 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.1
Steals 5.6 3.8
Fouls 17.2 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MSST VAND
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MSST VAND
2 Point Attempt 53.1% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 26.5%
Player Fouled 18.9% 23.6%
Turnover 11.9% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MSST VAND
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 29.4%