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Miss State at Coastal Car: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Nov 24, 2019 1:00 pm - Conway, SC
Odds: Mississippi State by 6, Total Points: 137.5

Matchup Menu: MSST @ CCU

More Games From Nov 24, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MSST CCU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MSST CCU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 62.9 56.7
Field Goal % 47.6% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 60.7% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 29.5 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 27.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 16.2
Free Throw % 65.5% 69.4%
Ball Control MSST CCU
Rebounds 41.0 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 8.3
Turnovers 8.5 14.1
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.0
Steals 10.0 4.8
Fouls 13.5 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MSST CCU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MSST CCU
2 Point Attempt 38.4% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.9% 25.0%
Player Fouled 20.9% 18.5%
Turnover 11.7% 19.4%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 13.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MSST CCU
Shot Blocked 3.7% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 36.0% 23.2%